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流动性的变形记:全球资产定价与交易范式的结构性变迁研究报告

流动性的变形记:全球资产定价与交易范式的结构性变迁研究报告

在2025年深秋的金融市场中,我们正站在一个历史性的十字路口。传统的金融教科书理论——那些基于格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)和多德(David Dodd)的安全边际、账面价值以及市盈率回归均值的经典教条——在当下的市场生态中显得苍白无力,甚至在某种程度上成为了投资业绩的拖累。此时此刻,美股市场、加密数字资产以及各类衍生品的交易行为,正在经历一场深刻的“范式转移”(Paradigm Shift)。这不是简单的周期性波动,而是底层逻辑的重构。
Leo Wang 21 Nov 2025
🚨 Buffett Indicator Hits Record 217%: The Ultimate Warning Beyond All Bubbles

🚨 Buffett Indicator Hits Record 217%: The Ultimate Warning Beyond All Bubbles

The Market Cap to GDP ratio hits 217%, far exceeding the 2000 dot-com bubble peak of 159%. Buffett considers 120% overvalued - we're now at nearly 3x normal levels! History shows every time it exceeded 130%, a 40-60% crash followed.
Leo Wang 28 Oct 2025

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